Mayendedwe a Mitengo ya Mbewu: Zomwe zachitika m'mbuyomu zimathandizira chiyembekezo chamakampani opanga mazira
9 May 2023
Pazosintha zake zaposachedwa za IEC Lachiwiri 18 Epulo, Adolfo Fontes, Senior Global Business Intelligence Manager ku DSM Animal Nutrition and Health, adapereka chithunzithunzi chaukadaulo cha 'Mitundu ya Mitengo ya Mbewu - Tingaphunzire Chiyani Kuchokera Zomwe Zachitika M'mbuyomu?'
Polankhula kwa nthumwi zapadziko lonse ku IEC Business Conference ku Barcelona, Adolfo adapereka malingaliro achidule akanthawi kochepa komanso anthawi yayitali, asanapereke mbiri ya chimanga, tirigu ndi soya, pogwiritsa ntchito zitsanzo zam'mbuyomu kuti apereke zidziwitso zamtsogolo.
Zinthu zomwe zimakhudza tsogolo
Kuti ayambe ulaliki wake, Adolfo adafufuza zosatsimikizika pakanthawi kochepa zomwe zimakhudza unyolo wa dzira, ndikuwunika momwe zimakhudzira komanso kulosera.
Pofotokoza za mavuto azachuma padziko lonse, iye anafotokoza kuti: “Kukwera kwa mitengo ya zinthu komanso khalidwe la anthu ogula zinthu zikuyenda bwino tikayerekeza ndi zakale.” Iye adalongosola momwe chuma chimakhalira "chosatsimikizika, koma chochepa kwambiri kuposa momwe chinaliri", poyerekeza ndi kumapeto kwa chaka chatha. Adalinso wotsimikiza pamitengo yopangira: "Mitengo yatirigu, mtengo wamagetsi - zakhala zikuyenda bwino m'miyezi ingapo yapitayi." Pogwiritsa ntchito kafukufuku waku Netherlands, Adolfo adawonetsa momwe mitengo yamafuta achilengedwe yayambira kutsika kwambiri, pambuyo pa chiwopsezo cha Seputembala 2022.
Adolfo ananenanso za kufunika kwa nyengo m’makampani ambewu, poganizira za zaka zingapo zovuta kwambiri ku South America: “Argentina yakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi nyengo ya La Niña kwa zaka zotsatizana, zomwe zakhudza kwambiri kupezeka kwa soya padziko lonse lapansi. kuti ndi amene amatumiza kunja kwambiri.” Kenako adafotokozanso kuti zomwe zanenedweratuzi zikuyembekezeka kuti ziwonjezeke, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zotsatira zabwino pamakampani ambewu. Komabe, kusintha kwa nyengo ya El Niño kumapeto kwa chaka chino n’kothekanso, zomwe zikuwonjezera kusatsimikizika kwa kawonedwe kake.
Wokamba nkhaniyo waluso anazindikiranso zifukwa zocheperako: “Zowonadi, matenda ndi ovuta kuneneratu.” Pofotokoza za matenda a nkhumba ku Africa ndi chimfine cha avian monga zinthu zofunika kwambiri, adati: "Zidzakhudza osati kuchuluka kwa mapuloteni a nyama, komanso misika yambewu." Pomaliza, adavomereza zomwe zikuchitika pazandale ngati "zovuta kwambiri" kuziyembekezera, ndikugogomezera momwe zimakhudzira mayendedwe athu.
Poyang'ana m'tsogolo ku malo a nthawi yaitali, Adolfo anafotokoza kuti tingayembekezere "kukula kolimba" m'gawo lathu: "Kupanga mazira kukuyembekezeka, ndipo kuyenera, kuwonjezeka ndi matani 14 miliyoni m'zaka 10 zikubwerazi kuti akwaniritse zofuna zapadziko lonse."
Chimanga, tirigu ndi soya: Zomwe zidachitika kale
Potsatira izi mwachidule, Adolfo adafufuza mozama mitengo yambewu yachaka ndi chaka. Anazindikira kuti pali nthawi zinayi zokha m'zaka za zana lapitalo, 2021 isanafike, yomwe idawona mitengo yamtengo wapatali ya mbewu ziwiri mwa zitatu zazikuluzikulu za m'munda, pomwe kukwezedwa kwamitengo kudapitilira zaka ziwiri kapena kupitilirapo zotsatizana. Izi zinali: 1973-74, 1994-95, 2006-08, ndi 2010-12.
Adolfo ndiye adasanthula zifukwa zamitengo yamitengo mzaka izi. Zinthu zomwe zimakhudza nthawi iliyonse zimawonetsa kusatsimikizika kwamasiku ano komwe kunkakambidwa koyambirira mu ulaliki wake, kuphatikiza; nyengo, kusintha kwachuma, ndi kupezeka kwa zopangira.
Ananenanso kuti mitengo yaposachedwa yambewu yomwe idafika pazaka zotsatizana inali 2021-2022, chifukwa cha zinthu monga kusokonezeka kwa COVID-19, kuwukira kwa Russia ku Ukraine, komanso nyengo yoopsa: M’zaka za m’ma XNUMX zapitazi, mbewu ziwiri mwa zitatu zazikuluzikulu zakhala ndi zaka ziwiri kapena kuposerapo.”
Poganizira kuti nyengo iliyonse yakale idatsatiridwa ndi kutsika kwamitengo yambewu, Adolfo adawonetsa kuti titha kuyembekezera mitengo yokhazikika pazaka zingapo zikubwerazi potsatira zomwe zachitika posachedwa kwambiri..
Kukhala ndi chiyembekezo
Adolfo adaphunziranso kugwirizana pakati pa chiŵerengero cha katundu ndi ntchito ndi mitengo ya chimanga, tirigu ndi soya. Ananenanso kuti ngakhale zinthu zina zomwe zidachitika chifukwa cha zomwe sizinachitikepo monga kuwukira kwa Russia ku Ukraine ndi COVID-19, pali njira yomwe mitengo imatsata. "Ngati muyang'ana zomwe USDA ikuwonetsera kwa nyengo zitatu zomwe zikubwera, tikhoza kuyembekezera kuti mitengo idzatsatira mzerewu, koma pamlingo wapamwamba," adatero. "Zomwe zikutanthauza kuti mitengo ipitilira kutsika, koma kukhazikika pamlingo wapamwamba - chimodzimodzi ndi zomwe zidachitika m'ma 70s, 90s, ndi 2000s."
"Ndikuganiza kuti msika wamakono ndi wosiyana kwambiri ndi wakale," adatero, "koma titha kukhala otsimikiza za mitengo yambewu muzaka zitatu zotsatira. Zitha kusintha, chifukwa cha nkhondoyi, malinga ndi momwe nyengo ilili, koma ichi ndi chithunzi chomwe titha kujambula lero. "
Pezani chithunzi chonse
Pindulani ndi kusanthula kwathunthu kwa Adolfo pamitengo yam'mbuyomu komanso yamtsogolo. Yang'anani ulaliki wake tsopano kuti mumve zambiri pazanenedweratu zamitengo, kupanga ndi zokolola zamtsogolo, komanso momwe msika wamafuta amafuta umathandizira (omwe akupezeka kwa mamembala a IEC okha).