"Kumhara kwakapfava asi njodzi dzichiripo" Dzakakosha kutora kubva kune wepasi rose economist

29 May 2024

Aimbove Chief Economist kuLloyds Bank, Muzvinafundo Trevor Williams, vakapa humbowo hune hungwaru hwehupfumi hwepasi rose kune vamiriri veIEC Edinburgh muna Kubvumbi.

Ziva zvinonetsa zvinotorwa kubva kuna Muzvinafundo Williams pazasi kana, kana iwe uri Nhengo yeIEC, tarisa mharidzo yake izere zvino.

INFLATION IRI KUNOKERA

Muzvinafundo Williams akatsanangura kuti “takanzvenga bara” sei nekudzivirira kuderera kwehupfumi zvichitevera kusagadzikana kwemakore mashoma apfuura, zvichiratidza kuti inflation yepasi rose yava kuderera: “Mitengo ichiri kukwira, asi iri kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma – ndizvo zvakanaka. nhau.”

“Kudzikira kwepasi rose mukukwira kwemitengo kuri kuramba kuchienderera mberi – uye kuderera. Nemamwe mashoko, inflation ichaderera kupfuura zvatiri kuona pari zvino.”

INTEREST RESEST ICHICHITIRUKA

Akatsanangura kuti nekuderera kwekukwira kwemitengo, ikozvino pane mukana wekuti mhindu idzike: "Hatichadi mubereko padanho rekukurumidzira ravakawana kuitira kuti tive nechokwadi chekuti dzvinyiriro yaipesana nekukwira kwemitengo."

"Zviripachena kuti kupora kuri kuitika" Muzvinafundo Williams akadaro, achifanotaura kuti, paavhareji, mitengo yemubereko "inozodzika nepakati" mumwedzi ye9 inotevera.

POST-PANDEMIC KUPEDZA SIMBA

Muzvinafundo Williams akatsanangura kuti denda reCCIDID-19 rakakonzera sei kushandisa simba rakawanda kuvatengi nhasi, iro richiri kudzoserwa muhupfumi: “Vanhu vaigona kuchengetedza muna 2020 nekuda kwekuvharika, vakaita saizvozvo. Vanhu ava havasati vashandisa mari yese yavakachengeta panguva iyi.”

MARIPO YEKUSHAYA KUBATA IRI KUDYA

Akaratidzawo kuti, munyika dzakawanda, uwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa hwakadzika hwakaderera kubva muna 2001 - zvichiratidza kupora kwakapararira mukushaikwa kwemabasa.

ZVIBVUMIRANO ZVOSE ZVINOKOSHA

Purofesa Williams akashuma kuti kutengeserana kwenyika dzose kunoita rutivi runokosha mukubudirira kwenyika yose: “Kuwedzera kukuru kwemugove wenyika wezvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika nezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, kuwedzera kukuru kweGDP yayo pamunhu. Saka, misika yakavhurika yakawanda, mukana wekubudirira unowedzera. ”

CHII CHIMWE?

Sechikamu chemharidzo yake yakasarudzika, Muzvinafundo Williams anoburitsa hupfumi hwekusagadzikana kwegeopolitical, huwandu hwevanhu huri kukura, uye nekukurumidza shanduko yetekinoroji - achipedzisa neizvo izvi zvinorevei kuindasitiri yemazai.