Mutengo Wezviyo Cycles: Zvakapfuura nzwisiso inotsigira tarisiro ine tariro yeindasitiri yemazai
9 May 2023
Munguva yake yazvino yeIEC yemusi weChipiri 18 Kubvumbi, Adolfo Fontes, Senior Global Business Intelligence Manager kuDSM Animal Nutrition and Health, akapa muono wenyanzvi we'Majinji eMutengo Wezviyo - Chii Chatingadzidza Kubva Pane Zvakaitika Kare?'
Achipa kunhumwa dzepasi rose kuIEC Business Conference muBarcelona, Adolfo akapa pfupi pfupi uye kwenguva refu maonero, asati apa nhoroondo yakazara yekuongorora kwechibage, gorosi nesoya bhinzi, achishandisa mienzaniso yapfuura kupa ruzivo mune ramangwana.
Zvinhu zvinokanganisa ramangwana
Kuti atange mharidzo yake, Adolfo akaongorora kusavimbika munguva pfupi-pfupi inokanganisa cheni yekukosha kwezai, achiongorora huwandu hwekukanganisa uye kufungidzira.
Achitaura nezvematambudziko eupfumi hwenyika yose, akatsanangura kuti: “Kukwira kwemitengo uye maitiro evatengi ari kuwedzera kunaka kana tikaenzanisa nekare.” Akatsanangura mamiriro ehupfumi se "achiri asina chokwadi, asi zvishoma pane zvazvaive", mukuenzanisa nekupera kwegore rapfuura. Aivewo akanaka maererano nemari yekugadzira: "Mitengo yezviyo, mutengo wemagetsi - anga achivandudza zvakanyanya mumwedzi mishoma yapfuura." Achishandisa ongororo yeNetherlands, Adolfo airatidza kuti mitengo yegasi yatanga kudzikira sei, mushure mepamusoro munaGunyana 2022.
Adolfo akasimbisawo kukosha kwemamiriro ekunze muindasitiri yezviyo, achifunga nezvemakore mashoma akanyanya kuoma muSouth America: “Argentina yakakanganiswa zvakanyanya nemakore akatevedzana emamiriro ekunze eLa Niña, zvichikanganisa kuwanikwa kwesoya pasi rose, zvichipihwa. kuti ndivo vanotengesa zvikuru kunze kwenyika.” Akazoenderera mberi achitsanangura kuti fungidziro iyi inotarisirwa kudzikamisa, zvichizounza zvibereko zviri nani kuindasitiri yezviyo. Zvisinei, kuchinja kumamiriro ezvinhu eEl Niño gare gare gore rino kunobvirawo, izvo zvinowedzera kusava nechokwadi kune maonero.
Mukurukuri ane nyanzvi akazivawo zvinhu zvisina tariro: “Chokwadi, hosha yakaoma kufanotaura.” Achisimbisa African swine fever uye avian furuwenza sezvinonyanya kunetsa, akati: "Hazvizokanganisa kwete cheni yemapuroteni emhuka chete, asiwo misika yezviyo." Chekupedzisira, akabvuma maitiro ezvematongerwo enyika se "akanyanya kuoma" kutarisira, uku achisimbisa kukosha kwakakosha kwavanove nako pane yedu kukosha cheni.
Tichitarisa kumberi kumamiriro enguva refu, Adolfo akatsanangura kuti tinogona kutarisira “kukura kwakasimba” muchikamu chedu: “Kugadzirwa kwemazai kunotarisirwa, uye kunoda, kuwedzera nematani mamiriyoni gumi nemana mumakore gumi anotevera kuti kukwane kudiwa kwepasi rose.”
Chibage, gorosi uye soyabhinzi: Mafambiro akare
Zvichitevera ongororo iyi, Adolfo akaita ongororo yakadzama yemitengo yezviyo gore negore. Akataura kuti kune nguva ina chete muzana ramakore rapfuura, gore ra2021 risati rasvika, iro rakaona mitengo isingaite zviviri zvezvitatu zvakakosha zvirimwa zvemumunda, uko kuwedzera kwemitengo kwakatsigirwa kwemakore maviri kana anopfuura akateedzana. Aya aiva: 1973-74, 1994-95, 2006-08, uye 2010-12.
Adolfo akabva aongorora zvikonzero zvemitengo yerekodhi mumakore aya. Zvinhu zvinopesvedzera nguva yega yega zvakaratidza kusavimbika kwanhasi kwakambokurukurwa kare mumharidzo yake, kusanganisira; mamiriro ekunze, shanduko yehupfumi, uye kuwanikwa kwezvinhu zvakabikwa.
Akawedzera kuti nguva yazvino mitengo yezviyo yakasvika marekodhi kwemakore akateedzana yaive 2021-2022, nekuda kwezvinhu zvinosanganisira kukanganisa kweCCIDID-19, kupinda kweRussia kuUkraine, uye mamiriro ekunze akanyanya: "Saka dutu rakakwana rakaita kuti zviitike zvakare kwechishanu. Munguva yezana remakore rapfuura, zvirimwa zviviri zvezvitatu zvikuru zvakawana mwero mukuru kwemakore maviri kana kupfuura.”
Tichifunga kuti imwe neimwe yenguva dzenhoroondo yakateverwa nekuderera kwemitengo yezviyo, Adolfo akaratidza kuti tinogona kutarisira mitengo yakagadzikana kwemakore mashoma anotevera zvichitevera kuitika kwakanyanya kwemazinga erekodhi..
Maonero ane tariro
Adolfo akadzidzawo kuwirirana pakati pemastocks-to-use ratio nemitengo yechibage, gorosi nesoya. Akapokana kuti kunyangwe zvimwe zvekunze zvakakonzerwa nezviitiko zvisati zvamboitika sekupindirwa neRussia kuUkraine neCCIDID-19, pane maitiro ayo mitengo anowanzo kutevedzera. "Kana iwe ukatarisa fungidziro yeUSDA yemwaka mitatu iri kuuya, tinogona kutarisira kuti mitengo ichatevera iyi mutsara, asi padanho repamusoro," akatsanangura. "Izvi zvinoreva kuti mitengo icharamba ichidzikira, asi ichidzikama padanho repamusoro - zvakafanana nezvakaitika kuma70s, 90s, uye 2000s."
"Ini ndinofunga kuti mamiriro emusika aripo akasiyana zvakanyanya nekare," akapedzisa, "asi isu tinogona kunge takanyanya kunaka nezvemitengo yezviyo mumwaka mitatu inotevera. Inogona kuchinja, hongu, tichitarisa mamiriro ezvinhu nehondo, tichitarisa mamiriro ekunze, asi uyu ndiwo mufananidzo watinogona kudhirowa nhasi. "
Wana mufananidzo wakakwana
Batsirwa nekuongorora kwakazara kwaAdolfo kwezvakapfuura uye zveramangwana mutengo wezviyo. Tarisa mharidzo yake izvozvi kuti uwane mamwe manzwisisiro ekufanotaura kwemitengo, kugadzirwa kweramangwana uye goho, uye maonero emusika webiofuel (unowanikwa kunhengo dzeIEC chete).